The global banking industry faces short-term uncertainty due to the debt crisesthat challenge several major economies, but total industry assets areforecast toclimb toan estimated US $163,058 billion in 2017 with a CAGR of 8% over the next five years.
Lucintel, a leading global Management Consulting and market research firm, has analyzed the global banking industry and presents its findings in “Global Banking Industry Analysis 2012-2017: Industry Trend, Profit and Forecast Analysis.”
The banking industry is highly fragmented and includes segments such as retail banking, corporate and investment banking, and asset and wealth management. The retail banking segment registered significant growth during 2006-2011 and has excellent potential to grow at an even more rapid pace over the forecast period.Europe dominatesthe global banking industrywith 43% of total market share. The Asia Pacific banking industry, however, grew much faster than both the European and North American regions during 2006-2011. Asia Pacific continues to possess huge opportunity for industry growth.Rising per capita income in the region is expected to drive consumer savings and investment in banking sector. The massive unbanked population in India and China offers immense opportunity for banking companies. The North American banking industry is anticipated to grow modestly in the near term. The Rest of World’sindustry growth trajectory offers opportunity for companies to expand their business in those nations.
Europe’s debt crisis and the large government budget deficit in the US are expected to reduce government spending, resulting in sluggish short-term economic growth in both regions.Risingmiddle class populationsand escalating household incomes in emerging markets providesubstantial opportunity for global banks. Rapid technological advances are leading to dramatic shifts in the banking industry as the processing cost per transaction is approaching zero while simultaneously improving efficiency. These advantages are likely to increase trading volumes at the institutional level.
Lucintel’s research indicates that despite the combination of margin pressure, sluggish growth in new assets and declines in fee income, retail banking revenue should remain relatively more stable. People will always need basic banking services, and the retail segment is traditionally less volatile than the corporate and investment banking segments.
This study provides a concise overview of the global banking industry. The report tracks three industry segments for four regions; thus, it tracks 12 segments of the global banking industry. The study’s scope is limited to annual trends for the past five years and forecasts for the next six years, helping executives plan for their inventory and resources. This report includes fee income earned by banks from bancassurance, but excludes the premium income from insurance.
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