Carbon Capture and Sequestration Market Trends and Forecast
The future of the global carbon capture and sequestration market looks promising with opportunities in the oil & gas and power generation markets. The global carbon capture and sequestration market is expected to grow with a CAGR of 7.7% from 2025 to 2031. The major drivers for this market are the increasing government regulations on carbon emissions, the rising investments in clean energy technologies, and the growing focus on climate change mitigation.
• Lucintel forecasts that, within the type category, post-combustion is expected to witness the highest growth over the forecast period.
• Within the application category, power generation is expected to witness higher growth.
• In terms of region, APAC is expected to witness the highest growth over the forecast period.
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Emerging Trends in the Carbon Capture and Sequestration Market
The carbon capture and sequestration market is undergoing a significant transformation, driven by technological advancements and urgent climate action goals. These emerging trends reflect a shift towards more scalable, cost-effective, and integrated solutions, broadening the scope and impact of CCS beyond traditional applications.
• Direct Air Capture Expansion: DAC technologies, which remove CO2 directly from the atmosphere, are gaining significant attention and investment. This trend is crucial for achieving net-negative emissions, particularly for hard-to-abate sectors or historical emissions, and is seeing increased funding for research, development, and commercial deployment.
• Development of CCS Hubs: The concept of shared CCS hubs and integrated networks is emerging, allowing multiple emitters to share common CO2 transport and storage infrastructure. This approach reduces per-unit costs, enables economies of scale, and facilitates faster deployment by spreading infrastructure expenses among various industrial sources.
• Enhanced Carbon Utilization: Beyond sequestration, there’s a growing focus on utilizing captured CO2 as a valuable resource. This involves converting CO2 into products like synthetic fuels, chemicals, building materials, or using it for enhanced oil recovery (EOR), turning a waste product into a revenue stream and improving project economics.
• Modular and Distributed Capture Systems: The development of more modular and compact carbon capture technologies is emerging, making CCS more adaptable for smaller industrial emitters or distributed sources. This trend aims to lower the barrier to entry for various industries, enabling wider adoption and facilitating decarbonization across diverse operational scales.
• Integration with Renewable Energy: CCS projects are increasingly being integrated with renewable energy sources for power or heat, aiming for a lower carbon footprint for the capture process itself. This synergy reduces the overall energy intensity of CCS and contributes to cleaner industrial processes, aligning with broader decarbonization goals.
These emerging trends are profoundly reshaping the carbon capture and sequestration market by pushing towards more holistic, economically viable, and environmentally integrated solutions. The focus on DAC, shared infrastructure, utilization, and modular systems is accelerating CCS deployment and making it an indispensable tool for achieving global climate targets.
Recent Development in the Carbon Capture and Sequestration Market
The carbon capture and sequestration market is experiencing rapid advancements, spurred by intensifying global climate goals and significant investments in decarbonization technologies. These key developments are crucial for scaling up CCS solutions and integrating them into various industrial and energy sectors.
• Significant Policy Incentives: Governments, particularly in the U.S. and Europe, are implementing substantial tax credits, subsidies, and funding programs (e.g., U.S. 45Q, EU ETS reforms) to incentivize CCS project development. These financial mechanisms are critical for de-risking investments and making large-scale CCS economically viable for emitters.
• Growth of CCS Project Pipeline: There’s been a substantial increase in the number of announced CCS projects globally, with hundreds in various stages of development. This expanded pipeline reflects growing industry commitment and confidence in CCS as a viable decarbonization pathway for hard-to-abate sectors like cement, steel, and chemicals.
• Advancements in Direct Air Capture: DAC technology has seen remarkable progress, with several large-scale DAC hubs receiving significant funding and entering operation. These facilities demonstrate the potential to remove legacy CO2 from the atmosphere, complementing point-source capture and offering a pathway to negative emissions.
• Focus on Geological Storage Assessment: Extensive efforts are underway to identify and assess suitable geological storage sites for CO2, particularly deep saline formations and depleted oil/gas reservoirs. This includes detailed geological surveys, regulatory framework development for storage, and pilot injection projects to ensure long-term, secure CO2 containment.
• Development of CO2 Transport Infrastructure: The planning and development of CO2 transport infrastructure, primarily pipelines, are accelerating. This is crucial for connecting capture sites to storage locations, often forming regional "hubs" that allow multiple industrial emitters to share common transport networks, reducing overall project costs and complexity.
These developments are profoundly impacting the carbon capture and sequestration market by creating a more favorable investment climate, accelerating project deployment, and advancing critical technologies like DAC. The increased focus on integrated infrastructure and robust storage solutions is essential for CCS to play its vital role in global decarbonization.
Strategic Growth Opportunities in the Carbon Capture and Sequestration Market
Strategic growth in the carbon capture and sequestration market is increasingly focused on specific applications and industries that represent significant emission sources or offer unique pathways for CO2 utilization. Identifying these key growth opportunities by application is crucial for market players to prioritize investments and drive innovation.
• Hard-to-Abate Industrial Emissions: Decarbonizing heavy industries like cement, steel, chemicals, and fertilizers, where process emissions are difficult to eliminate through other means, presents a major growth opportunity. CCS offers a viable pathway to reduce their carbon footprint, enabling these sectors to meet climate targets.
• Power Generation : While renewable energy grows, CCS remains critical for reducing emissions from existing fossil fuel-fired power plants and future plants, especially in regions reliant on coal or natural gas. Retrofitting existing plants and designing new ones with capture capabilities are key growth areas.
• Hydrogen Production: As demand for hydrogen grows, particularly "blue hydrogen" produced from natural gas with integrated CCS, this application offers significant opportunities. Capturing CO2 emissions from hydrogen production facilities helps create a low-carbon energy carrier for various industrial and transport uses.
• Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Storage: BECCS, which combines sustainable bioenergy generation with CCS, offers the potential for net-negative emissions. Capturing CO2 from biomass combustion or fermentation processes presents a unique growth area for achieving carbon removal targets.
• Direct Air Capture for Residual Emissions: DAC is a strategic growth opportunity for addressing residual emissions from dispersed sources or historical CO2 already in the atmosphere. It supports "net-zero" and "net-negative" goals, providing a pathway to remove carbon that cannot be captured at the source.
These application-centric growth opportunities are profoundly impacting the carbon capture and sequestration market by driving targeted development and deployment of CCS technologies where they are most impactful. By focusing on heavy industry, energy, and direct air capture, the market is positioning itself as a vital component of global decarbonization strategies.
Carbon Capture and Sequestration Market Driver and Challenges
The carbon capture and sequestration market are characterized by a complex interplay of forces. Key drivers include urgent climate action goals, government incentives, and the need to decarbonize heavy industries. However, significant challenges such as high capital costs, limited public acceptance, and the absence of comprehensive regulatory frameworks continue to influence its development and widespread adoption.
The factors responsible for driving the carbon capture and sequestration market include:
1. Global Climate Goals and Net-Zero Targets: International agreements like the Paris Agreement and national net-zero emission targets are compelling governments and industries to adopt CCS as a crucial tool for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. This regulatory push drives investments and project development.
2. Government Incentives and Funding: Substantial government support, including tax credits, grants, and subsidies, significantly de-risks CCS projects, making them more economically viable. Examples like the U.S. 45Q tax credit have spurred a surge in project announcements.
3. Decarbonization of Hard-to-Abate Sectors: Industries such as cement, steel, chemicals, and fertilizers have process emissions that are difficult to abate through other means. CCS offers a critical pathway for these heavy industries to achieve their decarbonization targets and remain competitive.
4. Growing Interest in Carbon Utilization: The potential to convert captured CO2 into valuable products (e.g., fuels, chemicals, building materials) creates new revenue streams and enhances the economic attractiveness of CCS projects, fostering innovation in carbon utilization technologies.
5. Increased Demand for Enhanced Oil Recovery: In some regions, CO2-EOR provides an immediate market for captured CO2, leveraging existing infrastructure and generating revenue. While controversial, it can provide a transitional pathway for early CCS project development and contribute to CO2 storage.
Challenges in the carbon capture and sequestration market are:
1. High Capital and Operating Costs: The significant upfront capital investment required for capture, transport, and storage infrastructure, coupled with high operational costs, remains a major barrier to widespread CCS deployment. Cost reduction through technological innovation is critical.
2. Public Acceptance and Social License: Concerns exist among the public regarding the safety of CO2 transport and long-term geological storage, as well as the perception of CCS prolonging the use of fossil fuels. Gaining public trust and a "social license" is crucial for project success.
3. Lack of Comprehensive Regulatory Frameworks: Ambiguous or incomplete regulatory frameworks for CO2 transport, storage, and liability create uncertainty for investors and project developers. Clear, consistent, and predictable regulations are essential to accelerate deployment and attract private investment.
The carbon capture and sequestration market is strongly driven by global climate imperatives and increasing government support. However, it continues to grapple with the high costs, public perception issues, and the need for robust regulatory frameworks. Addressing these challenges effectively is paramount for CCS to achieve its full potential in global decarbonization efforts.
List of Carbon Capture and Sequestration Companies
Companies in the market compete on the basis of product quality offered. Major players in this market focus on expanding their manufacturing facilities, R&D investments, infrastructural development, and leverage integration opportunities across the value chain. With these strategies carbon capture and sequestration companies cater increasing demand, ensure competitive effectiveness, develop innovative products & technologies, reduce production costs, and expand their customer base. Some of the carbon capture and sequestration companies profiled in this report include-
• Exxon Mobil Corporation
• Schlumberger
• China Huaneng Group
• Linde
• Halliburton
• BASF
• General Electric
• Siemens
• Honeywell UOP
• Sulzer
Carbon Capture and Sequestration Market by Segment
The study includes a forecast for the global carbon capture and sequestration market by type, application, and region.
Carbon Capture and Sequestration Market by Type [Value from 2019 to 2031]:
• Oxy-Combustion
• Pre-Combustion
• Post-Combustion
Carbon Capture and Sequestration Market by Application [Value from 2019 to 2031]:
• Oil & Gas
• Power Generation
• Others
Carbon Capture and Sequestration Market by Region [Value from 2019 to 2031]:
• North America
• Europe
• Asia Pacific
• The Rest of the World
Country Wise Outlook for the Carbon Capture and Sequestration Market
The carbon capture and sequestration market is gaining unprecedented momentum globally as countries and industries accelerate efforts to decarbonize and meet ambitious climate goals. Driven by growing awareness of climate change and supportive policies, CCS technologies are becoming crucial for mitigating emissions from hard-to-abate sectors, particularly in heavy industry and power generation.
• United States: The U.S. CCS market is experiencing significant growth, fueled by substantial government incentives like the 45Q tax credit and the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act. There’s a strong focus on developing large-scale CCS hubs and direct air capture (DAC) projects, with several facilities entering operation and significant funding allocated to demonstration projects.
• China: China is rapidly expanding its CCS capabilities, with several new capture facilities commencing operations in 2023. Driven by national climate commitments and industrial decarbonization needs, China is investing in large-scale projects, particularly in its coal-fired power and industrial sectors, aiming for substantial capture and storage capacity by 2030.
• Germany: Germany is making significant progress in CCS legislation and strategy, with the new government actively bringing carbon dioxide storage back onto the agenda. The focus is on enabling CCS for process emissions from heavy industries like steel and cement, recognizing its necessity for achieving climate neutrality by 2045 where other solutions are not yet viable.
• India: India has significant CO2 storage potential, but CCS technology remains in early deployment stages. Despite challenges like financial feasibility and infrastructure development, private sector companies like Tata Steel and Jindal Steel Works are commissioning pilot carbon capture facilities, with a growing focus on utilizing captured carbon for industrial processes.
• Japan: Japan is actively promoting CCS projects under its Green Transformation (GX) strategy, with a government goal to store 6-12 million tons of CO2 annually by 2030. Recent developments include the approval of a CCS Business Act and exploratory drilling for commercial-scale CCS in offshore areas, with a focus on ship-based CO2 transport.
Features of the Global Carbon Capture and Sequestration Market
Market Size Estimates: Carbon capture and sequestration market size estimation in terms of value ($B).
Trend and Forecast Analysis: Market trends (2019 to 2024) and forecast (2025 to 2031) by various segments and regions.
Segmentation Analysis: Carbon capture and sequestration market size by type, application, and region in terms of value ($B).
Regional Analysis: Carbon capture and sequestration market breakdown by North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and Rest of the World.
Growth Opportunities: Analysis of growth opportunities in different types, applications, and regions for the carbon capture and sequestration market.
Strategic Analysis: This includes M&A, new product development, and competitive landscape of the carbon capture and sequestration market.
Analysis of competitive intensity of the industry based on Porter’s Five Forces model.
FAQ
Q1. What is the growth forecast for carbon capture and sequestration market?
Answer: The global carbon capture and sequestration market is expected to grow with a CAGR of 7.7% from 2025 to 2031.
Q2. What are the major drivers influencing the growth of the carbon capture and sequestration market?
Answer: The major drivers for this market are the increasing government regulations on carbon emissions, the rising investments in clean energy technologies, and the growing focus on climate change mitigation.
Q3. What are the major segments for carbon capture and sequestration market?
Answer: The future of the carbon capture and sequestration market looks promising with opportunities in the oil & gas and power generation markets.
Q4. Who are the key carbon capture and sequestration market companies?
Answer: Some of the key carbon capture and sequestration companies are as follows:
• Exxon Mobil Corporation
• Schlumberger
• China Huaneng Group
• Linde
• Halliburton
• BASF
• General Electric
• Siemens
• Honeywell UOP
• Sulzer
Q5. Which carbon capture and sequestration market segment will be the largest in future?
Answer: Lucintel forecasts that, within the type category, post-combustion is expected to witness the highest growth over the forecast period.
Q6. In carbon capture and sequestration market, which region is expected to be the largest in next 5 years?
Answer: In terms of region, APAC is expected to witness the highest growth over the forecast period.
Q7. Do we receive customization in this report?
Answer: Yes, Lucintel provides 10% customization without any additional cost.
This report answers following 11 key questions:
Q.1. What are some of the most promising, high-growth opportunities for the carbon capture and sequestration market by type (oxy-combustion, pre-combustion, and post-combustion), application (oil & gas, power generation, and others), and region (North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and the Rest of the World)?
Q.2. Which segments will grow at a faster pace and why?
Q.3. Which region will grow at a faster pace and why?
Q.4. What are the key factors affecting market dynamics? What are the key challenges and business risks in this market?
Q.5. What are the business risks and competitive threats in this market?
Q.6. What are the emerging trends in this market and the reasons behind them?
Q.7. What are some of the changing demands of customers in the market?
Q.8. What are the new developments in the market? Which companies are leading these developments?
Q.9. Who are the major players in this market? What strategic initiatives are key players pursuing for business growth?
Q.10. What are some of the competing products in this market and how big of a threat do they pose for loss of market share by material or product substitution?
Q.11. What M&A activity has occurred in the last 5 years and what has its impact been on the industry?
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