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The South African economy is dominated by the service sector, which contributed approximately 68.7% to the total GDP in 2016.  Industrial sector contributes 27.5% of GDP, in which the manufacturing contributes 11.9% of GDP. South African government is looking towards promoting diversification in the tourism sector and expansi

on of small and medium scale enterprises in the textile and sugar industries.  Strong total consumption caused by an increase in household consumption and government spending,   is expected to be the main growth driver of the South African economy. 
 
Lucintel, a leading global management consulting and market research firm, has analyzed the political, economic, social, technological, legal, and environmental factors of South Africa and has come up with a comprehensive research report, “PESTLE Analysis of South Africa 2016.” This report provides an analysis of the South Africa’s economy from historical, current, and future perspectives. SWOT analysis, forecast and scenario analysis, and risk analysis of South Africa is also included in the report. The report also includes the forecast for South African economic growth through 2021. 
 
The report highlights various drivers and challenges which have influenced investment decisions in the economy. South Africa is a politically stable country, and has a current account surplus. South Africa’s literacy rate is 94.3% and R&D spending is 2.2% of GDP in 2016.  South Africa is currently facing challenges, like high unemployment rate, high fiscal deficit, low foreign reserves, and currency depreciation. The South African economy is expected to show a gradual recovery of economic activity, with strengthening economic growth in 2017. The expansion of economic activity will rely on the growth of household consumption and investment, with an increase in manufacturing exports followed by the currency appreciation.   
 
This unique report from Lucintel will provide you with valuable information, insights, and tools needed to identify new growth opportunities and operate your business successfully in this market. This report will save hundreds of hours of your own personal research time and will significantly benefit you in expanding your business in this market. In today’s stringent economy, you need every advantage that you can find.
To make business, investment, and strategic decisions, you need timely, useful information. This market report fulfills this core need and is an indispensable reference guide for multinational materials suppliers, product manufacturers, investors, executives, distributors, and many more that operate in this market. 
 
Some of the features of this report:
  • Trend and forecast for key macroeconomic variables that are useful to make major investment decision
  • Analysis on economic activity, investment environment, and trade structure of the country
  • Major industries in South Africa and its contribution to GDP
  • Trends in savings, investments, and consumptions 
  • Analysis of Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Legal, and Environmental scenarios as well as their impact on different industries
  • Analysis on geographical importance and social structure such as labor quality
  • Strength, Weakness, Opportunity, and Threat (SWOT) analysis of  South Africa
 

Table of Contents
1. Executive Summary
 
2. Political Analysis of South Africa
2.1: Structure and Stability of Government
2.2: Government Changes and Policy Stability
2.2.1: Policy Agenda – Reforms and Future Plans
 
3. Economic Analysis of South Africa
3.2: Sectoral Contribution to GDP and GDP Growth Rate
3.3: Pricing Trends- Inflation and Interest Rates
3.4: Major Economic Growth Driver – Consumption, Saving, and Investment Trends
3.5: International Trade and Its Contribution to GDP
3.6: Foreign Direct Investment by Industry
 
4. Economic and Business Risk Analysis of South Africa
4.1: Risk in the Financial Sector
4.1.1: Risk in Current Account Balance (CAB)
          Terms of Trade of South Africa
4.1.2: Risk in Balance of Payment (BOP)
4.2: Risks in Foreign Exchange Reserves and the Exchange Rate
4.2.1: Risk in Fiscal Balance
4.2.2: External Debt and Default Risk
4.3: Credit Rating of Countries – Credibility in the Debt Market
 
5. Social Analysis of South Africa
5.1: Social and Demographic Analysis
5.2: Labor Market – Quality and Availability
5.3: Social Development Index
 
6. R&D and Technological Factors of South Africa
6.1: R&D Expenditure in South Africa
6.2: Impact of Technology in Industry
6.3: Technology Policy
 
7. Legal Analysis South Africa
7.1: Company Law
7.2: Labor Law
7.3: Tax Law
7.4: Economic Policies – A Recent Development
7.5: Doing Business in South Africa 2015 – Process to Establish Business
 
8. Environmental Analysis of South Africa
8.1: Environment Policy
 
9. SWOT Analysis – Search of Potential Opportunities in South Africa
 
List of Figures
Chapter 3. Economic Analysis of South Africa
Figure 3.1: Economic Scenarios of Major Countries in 2015
Figure 3.2: Trends of Real GDP Growth Rate
Figure 3.3: Scenario Analysis of GDP Forecast
Figure 3.4: Trends of Per Capita Income
Figure 3.5: GDP Sectoral Contribution
Figure 3.6: Share of Different Sectors to GDP in 2015
Figure 3.7: Trends of Inflation and Interest Rate
Figure 3.8: Quarterly Interest Rate of South Africa
Figure 3.9: Quarterly Inflation Rate of South Africa 
Figure 3.10: Trend of Savings and Investments as Percentage of GDP
Figure 3.11: Trend of Consumption Expenditure as Percentage of GDP
Figure 3.12: Trends of International Trade Structure
Figure 3.13: South Africa’s Exports by Product 2010
Figure 3.14: South Africa’s Exports by Product 2015
Figure 3.15: South Africa’s Imports by Product 2010
Figure 3.16: South Africa’s Imports by Product 2015
Figure 3.17: South Africa’s Exports by Country 2010
Figure 3.18: South Africa’s Exports by Country 2015
Figure 3.19: South Africa’s Imports by Country 2010
Figure 3.20: South Africa’s Imports by Country 2015
Figure 3.21: Trends of Exports and Imports as Percentage of GDP
Figure 3.22: Foreign Direct Investment
 
Chapter 4. Economic and Business Risk of South Africa
Figure 4.1: Trends of Current Account Balance and Percentage to GDP
Figure 4.2: Terms of Trade for South Africa
Figure 4.3: Trends of Balance of Payment
Figure 4.4: Trends of Foreign Exchange Reserve and Exchange Rate
Figure 4.5: Trends of Government Revenue and Expenditure as Percentage of GDP
Figure 4.6: Trends of Fiscal Balance as Percentage of GDP
Figure 4.7: Trends of Debt as Percentage of GDP
 
Chapter 5. Social Analysis of South Africa
Figure 5.1: Geographical Location of South Africa
Figure 5.2: Trends of Population in South Africa
Figure 5.3: Population Age Structure
Figure 5.4: Trends of Unemployment Rate in South Africa
 
Chapter 6. R&D and Technological Factors of South Africa
Figure 6.1: Trends of R&D Expenditure in South Africa
 
List of Tables
Chapter 1. Executive Summary
Table 1.1: Factors Affecting Business in South Africa
 
Chapter 2. Political Analysis of South Africa
Table 2.1: Political Factors and Their Impact on Business
 
Chapter 3. Economic Analysis of South Africa
Table 3.1: Factors Affecting Industry Growth
Table 3.2: FDI limits by Industry
Table 3.3: Economic Factors and Their Impact on Business
 
Chapter 4. Economic and Business Risk of South Africa
Table 4.1: Credit Rating of Countries by Moody’s, Fitch, and S&P
Table 4.2: Economic Risk Factors and Their Impact on Business
 
Chapter 5. Social Analysis of South Africa
Table 5.1: Population Age Structure of South Africa
Table 5.2: Corruption, GINI, Homicide and Human Development Index
Table 5.3: Social Factors and Their Impact on Business
 
Chapter 6. R&D and Technological Factors South Africa
Table 6.1: Technological Factor and Their Impact on Business
 
Chapter 7. Legal Analysis of South Africa
Table 7.1: Indicators for Starting Business
Table 7.2: Ranking for Ease of Doing Business
Table 7.3: Legal Factors and Their Impact on Business
 
Chapter 8. Environmental Analysis of South Africa
Table 8.1: Environmental Factors and Their Impact on Business
 
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35 valuable figures/charts and 15 tables are provided in this roughly 75-page report.
PESTEL Risk analysis is a methodology that analyses the effects of political, economic, social, technological, legal, and environmental risk features of a country. This also helps to obtain the benefits of opportunities and can prepare contingency plans for the imminent threats. It helps us to understand the features which help in analyzing the impact of different indicators on business. This analysis is considered to be a most important strategic method to anticipate the market decline or growth, business status, potential for improvement, and develop future operational strategy. 
 
The following risk components for political, economic, social, technological, environmental, and legal are used to produce overall PESTEL risk.

Lucintel risk rating comprises of variables in the category political, economic, social, technological, legal and environmental risk.
  • To calculate PESTEL risk associated data is gathered from various government secondary sources, such as Central Bank, Statistics Authority, World Bank, ITC, IMF, on various factor conditions.
  • The quantitative data is analyzed and based on Lucintel’s judgment; we have ranked each risk as either very low or very high.
     

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