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Vietnam is the easternmost country on the Indochina Peninsula in Southeast Asia. The country is expected to witness good economic growth over the next five years. The real GDP of Vietnam is projected to reach US $206 billion by 2017, growing with a CAGR of 6.5%.

Lucintel, a leading global management consulting and market research firm, conducted a competitive analysis on various aspects of the country and presents its findings in “Vietnam Country Analysis 2012-2017: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic, and Business Risk.” The report gives a holistic view of the country from current and future perspectives.

Lucintel's report provides an array of analytical inputs on the country's performance and briefly discusses the political, social, economic, and business risk present in Vietnam. The analysis also considers the challenges Vietnam faces, including its persistent trade deficit. The increasing trade deficit has led to serious impacts such as increasing current account deficit, a growing fiscal deficit, and mounting public debt. Continuous depreciation of the Vietnamese currency, the dong, has led to higher debt repayments, which depletes the country’s foreign exchange reserve.

The report gives a brief description of the main drivers of the country. Vietnam’s geostrategic location adds an edge to its economy. Its ports and shipping industry offers potential as the country’s international trade grows. Vietnam has emerged as an important investment destination because of its enriched natural resources such as oil, gas, nuclear, and a wide range of exploitable deposits.

Vietnam country analysis report provides a competitive benchmarking of the industries doing business in Vietnam. The study provides up-to-date information on the economic upheavals, social dynamics, political instability, industrial development, technological advancements, and the market entry strategy for doing business in this country.

This unique report from Lucintel will provide you with valuable information, insights, and tools needed to identify new growth opportunities and operate your business successfully in this market. Vietnam country analysis report will save hundreds of hours of your own personal research time and will significantly benefit you in expanding your business in this market. In today’s stringent economy, you need every advantage that you can find.

To make business, investment, and strategic decisions, you need timely, useful information. Vietnam country analysis market report fulfills this core need and is an indispensable reference guide for multinational materials suppliers, product manufacturers, investors, executives, distributors, and many more that operate in this market.

Some of the features of this report:

  • Trend and forecast for key macroeconomic variables that are useful to make major investment decision.
  • Analysis on economic activity, Government debt, investment environment, and trade structure of the country
  • In depth political, social, economic and business risk analysis of the country that may have impact on different industries.
  • Risk analysis associated with availability of labor, aging population, wage rates, industry policy, business environment, etc.
  • More than 28 figures/charts and 10 tables are provided in this roughly 65-page report.

Benefits of a Lucintel Report:
  • Lucintel’s core competency is in market research and management consulting. In the last 14 years, Lucintel has worked on hundreds of market research studies. Lucintel’s risk reports offer the following benefits:
  • Enhance your global growth strategy with key economic and potential industry analysis
  • Enhance your risk management using the report's economic, social and business risk analysis.
  • Fine tune your business expansion planning with understanding of domestic demand analysis and demographics structure analysis.
  • Reduce the investment risk by knowing the analysis of sovereign debt risk, exchange risk, availability of labor and risk associated with country’s policies.
Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary    

2. Country Overview
3. Vietnam’s Economic Performance    
3.1: Sectoral contribution to GDP and GDP growth rate    
3.2: Consumption, saving, and investment trends    
3.3: Foreign direct investment (FDI) by industry    

4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of Vietnam    
4.1: Structure and stability of government    
4.2: Government policy agenda    
4.2.1: Policy agenda    
4.2.2: Internal security risk    
4.3: Risk in international relations    
4.4: Social risk analysis    
4.4.1: Social development index: risk analysis
4.4.2: Labor market    

5. Economic Risk of Vietnam    
5.1: Pricing trends - inflation and interest rates    
5.2: Risk in financial sector    
5.2.1: Risk in current account balance    
5.2.2: Risk in balance of payment (BOP)    
5.2.3: Risk in fiscal balance    
5.3: Risk in external sector    
5.3.1: International trade and its contribution to GDP    
5.3.2: Risk in foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate    
5.3.3: External debt and default risk    
5.3.4: Economic factors impact on business    

6. Business Risk of Vietnam    
6.1: Business risk    
6.2: Doing business in Vietnam 2012    
6.3: Credit rating of countries    
6.4: R&D expenditure and technological risk    
6.5: Business risk factors and its impact    

List of Figures

Chapter 2. Country Snapshot / Overview
Figure 2.1: Geographical location of Vietnam

Chapter 3 Vietnam’s Economic Performance
Figure 3.1: Trend of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.2: Forecast of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.3: GDP sectoral contribution
Figure 3.4: Share of different sectors to GDP
Figure 3.5: Quarterly trend of GDP and IIP growth
Figure 3.6: Trend of consumption expenditure as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.7: Trend of savings and investments as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.8: Trend in FDI registered and implemented capital
Figure 3.9: Foreign direct investment by industry

Chapter 4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of Vietnam
Figure 4.1: Trend of population and population growth rate
Figure 4.2: Population age structure
Figure 4.3: Trend of per capita income
Figure 4.4: Trend of corruption perception index of Vietnam
Figure 4.5: Trend of unemployment rate in Vietnam

Chapter 5. Economic Risk of Vietnam
Figure 5.1: Annual trend of inflation and interest rate
Figure 5.2: Trend of current account balance and share in GDP
Figure 5.3: Terms of trade for Vietnam
Figure 5.4: Trend of balance of payment
Figure 5.5: Trend of government revenue and expenditure as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.6: Trend of fiscal deficit as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.7: Vietnam’s international trade structure
Figure 5.8: Exports and imports as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.9: Trend of foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate
Figure 5.10: Trend of debt as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.11: Trend of gross government debt position of Vietnam
Figure 5.12: Mixed prospects of debts in Vietnam

Chapter 6. Business Risk of Vietnam
Figure 6.1: Trend of R&D expenditure in Vietnam

List of Tables

Chapter 2. Country Snapshot / Overview
Table 2.1: Demographic and political overview

Chapter 4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of Vietnam
Table 4.1: Homicide rate of Vietnam
Table 4.2: GINI index of Vietnam
Table 4.3: Corruption perception index

Chapter 5. Economic Risk of Vietnam
Table 5.1 Economic factors impact on business

Chapter 6. Business Risk of Vietnam
Table 6.1: FDI limits by industry
Table 6.2: Indicators for starting business
Table 6.3: Ranking in 2011 for procedures of starting a business
Table 6.4: Credit rating of countries by Moody, Fitch, and S&P
Table 6.5: Business risk factors and its impact

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Full Report: Vietnam Country Analysis 2012-2017: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic, and Business Risk, Full Report $ 750
More than 43 valuable figures/charts and 11 tables are provided in this report
Lucintel has been closely tracking and conducting research on and for the composites, since 1998. Lucintel has also forayed in economics and other verticals such as industry analysis and company profiles. This research project was designed for the purposes of determining the evaluation of political, social, economic, and business risk opportunities in Vietnam. In order to ensure fairness with our analysis, we compared several factors to align the current performance and, more importantly, the future prospects.
This study is a culmination of seven months of full-time effort by Lucintel's analyst team. Our analysts used the following sources for the creation and completion of this valuable report:
  • Regression analysis of GDP of Vietnam’s economy and major industries
  • In-depth secondary research from financial statements and annual reports of the Vietnam central  Bank
  • Extensive search of current published literature, market, and database information including industry news, company press releases, and customer intentions
  • A compilation of the experiences, judgments, and insights of Lucintel's professional network, who have analyzed and tracked the composites marketplace for a decade
Lucintel collects a significant amount of uninterpreted data from a variety of sources and converts this into intelligent data as follows. The intelligent data is used by our clients for making confident business decisions.

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